What are the odds …?

Jeg har et par praktiske tommelfingerregler i hverdagen, når jeg ikke er helt sikker på, hvad jeg egentlig selv skal mene om noget (og det sker):

  1. Jeg læser The Economist; i de 150 år siden Herbert Spencer arbejdede der som skribent, har de sjældent taget helt fejl.
  2. Alternativt læser jeg Wall Street Journal (og det sker næsten dagligt); de tager også sjældent fejl.
  3. Hvis både The Economist og Wall Street Journal mener det samme … Så er der som regel god grund til at springe ombord på deres galej (eller være alvorligt bekymret!).

Så hvad mener mine orakler om franskmændene og EU-nej'et? Well …

TE lavede allerede for to år siden en mindeværdig forside, hvor forfatningen lå i en skraldespand og med teksten "Where to file Europe's new constitution". Denne uges historie hedder "Dead, but not yet buried". Ouch!

Og her er så WSJ's leder fra i tirsdags:

"[President] Chirac asserted that the constitution was France's only bulwark against the encroachment of Anglo-Saxon-style capitalism. Meanwhile, Mr. Chirac's main political opponent in his own ruling party, Nicolas Sarkozy, argued for the constitution on the same grounds that the no camp argued against it–that it would help France by forcing it to reform its bloated welfare state, create more jobs and increase economic growth. We think Mr. Chirac's view of the actual document is the closest to the truth–that it would have enhanced the leverage of French socialism on the Continent–which is why it's just as well that it was defeated. Probably the underlying sentiment among "no" voters was their rejection of the paternalism with which this constitution, along with so many other EU initiatives, was sold to the public. Europeans are increasingly tired of being told to take their medicine and not ask too many questions. …Once this document dies the death it deserves, the europhiles may conclude that the next time they draft a constitution they'll have to listen more closely to the people it purports to represent."

Triple-ouch!

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